Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 119.482731 131.335597 143.475167 156.814764 171.037775 185.726016 202.017897
2024-12-15 97.325269 114.698205 133.367814 154.821837 178.691976 204.334831 233.862598
2024-12-22 85.221977 105.564134 128.176764 154.969107 185.635587 219.433585 259.286983
2024-12-29 78.714163 101.609808 127.775091 159.545627 196.728421 238.525307 288.707111
2025-01-05 71.945008 96.510509 125.309183 161.061020 203.740353 252.553947 312.081924
2025-01-12 65.907451 91.669834 122.598079 161.781796 209.402256 264.714546 333.101956
2025-01-19 58.730085 84.802041 116.872824 158.344195 209.648228 270.148484 345.955815
2025-01-26 56.237003 83.647231 118.014679 163.165574 219.785237 287.323164 372.799939
2025-02-02 53.293020 81.648131 117.878538 166.219098 227.639279 301.711403 396.353675
2025-02-09 49.892965 78.780319 116.403144 167.383429 233.003193 312.995006 416.150609
2025-02-16 48.355846 78.321730 117.978857 172.407543 243.214870 330.288165 443.418179
2025-02-23 45.723124 76.148623 117.119844 174.130107 249.140164 342.237588 464.147672
2025-03-02 42.124545 72.445864 114.096750 172.960053 251.395874 349.748827 479.661220
2025-03-09 39.175288 69.506104 111.974095 172.883912 255.019194 359.000613 497.453550
2025-03-16 36.490035 66.768858 109.966408 172.814491 258.537879 368.054703 514.989372
2025-03-23 35.579894 66.661870 111.642851 177.794295 268.797569 385.848599 543.774581
2025-03-30 33.744520 64.993956 110.972053 179.431321 274.530784 397.790954 565.148780
2025-04-06 31.804081 63.029252 109.757450 180.211509 279.044994 408.129158 584.499429
2025-04-13 28.805589 59.147047 105.511145 176.491367 277.245925 410.051149 592.868916
2025-04-20 28.327538 59.399481 107.466004 181.708506 287.814337 428.410349 622.781430
2025-04-27 27.398687 58.827971 108.120324 185.011000 295.731956 443.293959 648.252589
2025-05-04 26.036771 57.424592 107.419769 186.269931 300.763859 454.330162 668.728018
2025-05-11 25.717841 57.821592 109.523128 191.700180 311.725167 473.428123 699.994611